December 20, 2019
By: Your Call Inc.
Navy Midshipmen Offensive Preview
On December 31st at 2:45 CST on ESPN, the Navy Midshipmen and their electric rushing offense will battle the Kansas State Wildcats, coming out of the gauntlet that is the Big 12 conference. The AutoZone Liberty Bowl is the first bowl game to deploy this predictive technology, and this matchup will serve as a great introduction for fans looking to predict, compete and win cash prizes.
Strategy to Follow
Both teams favor the run, with Navy being the FAR more extreme case. The Midshipmen have only thrown the ball 95 times all season and have a staggering total of 719 rushing attempts on the year. This is a direct product of their notorious offensive scheme, the Flexbone Triple Option.
The Flexbone features a quarterback directly under center with a fullback in the backfield and 2 skill players at slotback on either side of the offensive line. The triple option sends one of the slotbacks in motion and while he is still in motion the quarterback receives the snap and motions to the fullback. Depending the quarterback’s read of the defense, he either hands the ball off to the fullback or keeps the ball and runs out wide with the slotback as a pitch out option.
Players to Look For
Just because Navy runs the ball on 88% of offensive snaps doesn’t mean their quarterback isn’t a factor. Malcolm Perry leads the nation in rushing yards among quarterbacks and is 4th overall behind only Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Taylor and J.K. Dobbins.
And when Navy does throw the ball, watch out. 20% of their completed passes go for touchdowns and you can’t count on those passes always coming from the arm of Perry. Two of Navy’s Wide Receivers have 6 passing attempts between the two of them with one touchdown pass a piece.
How to Predict
Despite the wacky stats listed above, predicting the plays for Navy should be fairly simple. With nearly 90% of their plays being run plays, it’s almost always a safe bet to predict Run in the first tier of the voting.
Expect high scores across the entire leaderboard with most fans realizing this trend and correctly anticipating the play type. To separate yourself from the rest of the pack, however, it will take correct predictions in Tier 2 and Tier 3.
Will those run plays be to the inside or the outside? What will be the result? The former will almost be a 50/50 pick with the unpredictability of the Flexbone offense.
The latter will depend on which Kansas State defense shows up on New Year’s Eve. Will this high-powered run offense be stymied to just gains, losses and defensive outcomes? Or will we see the Midshipmen picking up first downs and touchdowns like we’re used to seeing from them?
Tune in on December 31st at 2:45 CST to find out.